Publications

The EU CBAM: A Two-Way Street to Climate Integrity?

The EU CBAM: A Two-Way Street to Climate Integrity?

Supported by the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung, Sandbag’s report examines the impact of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the gradual removal of free allowances on third-country exporters. The joint implementation is expected to raise production costs for both EU and non-EU producers, leading to higher prices for CBAM-covered goods in the EU. Moreover, some exporters may reduce CBAM liabilities through resource shuffling, potentially increasing their profit margins.

Heat up industry, not the climate!

Heat up industry, not the climate!

The European Commission has set out proposed terms and conditions for its auction on electrified /renewable industrial heat under the Innovation Fund (IF). We support the IF’s acknowledgment that indirect emissions are linked to the timing of electricity consumption rather than the source of electricity used. However, although it claims an intention to limit electricity use at hours of high marginal emission intensity, we are concerned that the proposed terms might lead to the opposite and significantly limit the scheme’s climate benefits.

Simulating CDR in the EU ETS: The Risks of Premature Integration

Simulating CDR in the EU ETS: The Risks of Premature Integration

Sandbag has developed an ‘ETS + CDR simulator’ to help visualise and explore the impact that CDR integration could have on the ETS, assess the demand it could create for CDR, and highlight the potential consequences of this demand. This report uses the simulator to explore how different integration pathways could affect emissions reductions, carbon prices, and potentially lead to negative externalities.

Getting Electrification Right: The broader challenge of induced emissions

Getting Electrification Right: The broader challenge of induced emissions

This report examines how the climate impact of electricity use is shaped not just by its source, but also by its timing and location. It evaluates the EU’s RED III framework and associated hydrogen targets, using the RFNBO standard as a case study. The analysis shows that ill-timed use of renewable electricity (particularly for hydrogen production) can inadvertently drive fossil generation. It argues for more strategic use of electricity to avoid these unintended consequences and support genuine decarbonisation.

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