Beta EU ETS Simulator
With our EU ETS Simulator, you can analyse the impact of changing assumptions on the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS).
You can adjust assumptions and analyse how they affect the supply and demand balance of the EU ETS.
This simulator uses data from the European Commission up to 2025 and 3 emissions scenarios from the Commission’s impact assessment on EU climate law from 2024.
Select and combine different scenarios on the menu on the left by clicking the buttons.
Stay tuned for more updates coming soon!
Related publications
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Simulating CDR in the EU ETS: The Risks of Premature Integration
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Supply and demand in the EU ETS: It’s the hydrogen, stupid!
Learn about the supply and demand balance of the EU ETS through the end of its fourth phase in 2030, based on the latest market data and policy parameters. Are the results aligned with the EU’s target of a 55% reduction in emissions?
More on the EU ETS
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Based on our updated EU ETS simulator, this technical brief models the impact of the several proposals on the carbon market’s supply/demand balance under the European Commission’s impact assessment emission scenarios.
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What will the future of the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) look like as the emissions cap heads towards zero? Is integrating carbon dioxide removals (CDRs) into the ETS a solution to help the EU achieve its climate goals? Or would they compromise the integrity and functioning of the system? These questions are at the forefront of the Commission’s mind as they review different options for the future of the ETS ahead of the 2026 revision.
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