Publications

Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR)EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) 2025
Simulating CDR in the EU ETS: The Risks of Premature Integration

Simulating CDR in the EU ETS: The Risks of Premature Integration

Sandbag has developed an ‘ETS + CDR simulator’ to help visualise and explore the impact that CDR integration could have on the ETS, assess the demand it could create for CDR, and highlight the potential consequences of this demand. This report uses the simulator to explore how different integration pathways could affect emissions reductions, carbon prices, and potentially lead to negative externalities.

ElectrificationHydrogenIndustry 2025
Getting Electrification Right: The broader challenge of induced emissions

Getting Electrification Right: The broader challenge of induced emissions

This report examines how the climate impact of electricity use is shaped not just by its source, but also by its timing and location. It evaluates the EU’s RED III framework and associated hydrogen targets, using the RFNBO standard as a case study. The analysis shows that ill-timed use of renewable electricity (particularly for hydrogen production) can inadvertently drive fossil generation. It argues for more strategic use of electricity to avoid these unintended consequences and support genuine decarbonisation.

Climate FinancingElectrificationIndustry 2025
Auction for industrial heat electrification: A positive step, but mind the induced emissions!

Auction for industrial heat electrification: A positive step, but mind the induced emissions!

Industrial heat electrification is a key strategy for decarbonising energy-intensive industries by replacing fossil-based heat. We welcome the European Commission’s initiative to launch an auction to electrify industrial heat, while emphasising the need for careful design to prevent unintended increases in emissions due to electricity grid dynamics. 

Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR)EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) 2024
A modern carbon removal facility surrounded by misty grasslands and sparse trees, with industrial structures and a sleek wooden central building.
In or Out: What’s best for carbon removals and the EU ETS?

In or Out: What’s best for carbon removals and the EU ETS?

What will the future of the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS) look like as the emissions cap heads towards zero? Is integrating carbon dioxide removals (CDRs) into the ETS a solution to help the EU achieve its climate goals? Or would they compromise the integrity and functioning of the system? These questions are at the forefront of the Commission’s mind as they review different options for the future of the ETS ahead of the 2026 revision.

Mundo Matogné. Rue d’Edimbourg 26, Ixelles 1050 Belgium. Sandbag is a not-for-profit (ASBL) organisation registered in Belgium under the number 0707.935.890. EU transparancy register no. 277895137794-73. VAT: BE0707935890

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